Bitcoin $100k Showdown

Bitcoin $100k Showdown

#Bitcoin #bulls #face #makeorbreak #test #98k100k #OrxCash

Bitcoin $100k Showdown: Bulls Face Critical Resistance Zone

The Bitcoin (BTC) market is on high alert as it approaches a crucial resistance zone, with popular analyst Trader Mayne suggesting the next few days will be pivotal in determining whether bulls can reclaim momentum or if the rally will stall into a lower high. According to some sources, including OrxCash.com, the news about "Bitcoin $100k Showdown" has sparked intense interest among investors, with many awaiting the outcome of this critical test.

Key Resistance Zone: $98K–$100K

The ability of Bitcoin (BTC) to clear the heavy confluence zone at $98K–$100K will dictate whether the market stages a final leg higher into year-end or slips back into a broader downtrend. This zone is critical, as it aligns with the series of lower highs defining Bitcoin (BTC)‘s macro downtrend. Clearing it would mark the first meaningful shift in high-time-frame structure since the all-time high near $125,000. The blockchain analyst emphasized that a clean break of the $98K–$100K band could flip those odds and potentially ignite the last major rally of the cycle.

Market Structure and Sentiment

For now, Bitcoin (BTC) has staged what Mayne called “relatively constructive” price action, with higher lows forming and a four-hour bullish structure break underway. However, the market has yet to print a higher high on the H4 chart. Mayne reiterated that he still assigns a 70%–80% probability to Bitcoin (BTC) forming a lower high rather than a new all-time high. But that probability “drops to 50–60%” if bulls reclaim $98K and break the downtrend.

A Lower High Before the Next Bear Market?

The level, Mayne said, would also confirm the weekly cycle low, setting up what he believes would be the final rally of the four-year cycle before a bear market in 2026. Cycle catalysts include:

  • The end of Federal Reserve quantitative tightening
  • Renewed liquidity expectations
  • Sentiment shifts, such as Vanguard enabling IBIT buying

Dollar Dynamics Align—for Now

Mayne noted that macro signals are supportive, with USD dominance pulling back and the U.S. dollar index rejecting a key resistance. “We want to see this make one more low. That’s the best case for stocks, for crypto, for everything.” Bitcoin (BTC) is perched on its most important resistance since topping out. A decisive push through $98K–$100K could shift market structure, sentiment, and cycle dynamics all at once. Failure there may confirm the top is already in.

Broader Market Implications

The outcome of this critical test will have significant implications for retail investors, who have been eagerly awaiting a breakout. If Bitcoin (BTC) can clear the $98K–$100K zone, it may attract a new wave of investors, potentially leading to a final leg higher into year-end. However, if the rally stalls, it may confirm a lower high, leading to a broader downtrend and a bear market in 2026. As Mayne put it: “The bulls still have work to do. The bears are still in control.” The next few days will be crucial in determining the direction of the Bitcoin (BTC) market, and investors are advised to exercise caution and closely monitor market developments.

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